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McClellan 합계 지수

McClellan 합계 지수

McClellan ํ•ฉ๊ณ„ ์ง€์ˆ˜๋ž€?

์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ์Šน๊ณผ ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ํ•œ ์‹œ์žฅ ํญ ์ง€ํ‘œ์ธ McClellan Oscillator ์˜ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ๋ฒ„์ „์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค . Sherman๊ณผ Marian McClellan์€ McClellan ํ•ฉ๊ณ„ ์ง€์ˆ˜๋ฅผ ๋งŒ๋“ค๊ณ  ๊ฐœ๋ฐœํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

ํ•ด์„์€ ์ฃผ์š” ์ถ”์„ธ ๋ฐ ๊ด€๋ จ ๋ฐ˜์ „์— ๋” ์ ํ•ฉํ•˜๋‹ค๋Š” ์ ์„ ์ œ์™ธํ•˜๊ณ ๋Š” McClellan ์˜ค์‹ค๋ ˆ์ดํ„ฐ์˜ ํ•ด์„๊ณผ ์œ ์‚ฌํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. McClellan Summation Index๋Š” McClellan Oscillator์˜ ๋ชจ๋“  ์ผ์ผ ๊ฐ’์˜ ํ•ฉ์œผ๋กœ ๊ณ„์‚ฐํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

McClellan ํ•ฉ๊ณ„ ์ง€์ˆ˜ ์ดํ•ดํ•˜๊ธฐ

McClellan Summation Index๋Š” ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์  ๋ถ„์„์— ์‚ฌ์šฉ๋˜๋ฉฐ ๊ฐ•์„ธ ๋˜๋Š” ์•ฝ์„ธ ํŽธํ–ฅ๊ณผ ์ถ”์„ธ์˜ ๊ฐ•๋„๋ฅผ ์‹๋ณ„ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. S&P 500 ๋ฐ Dow Jones Industrial Average ์™€ ๊ฐ™์€ ๋‹ค์–‘ํ•œ ์ง€์ˆ˜์˜ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ๋ณด๋Š” ๊ฒƒ ์™ธ์—๋Š” ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ์›€์ง์ž„์„ ์ˆ˜๋Ÿ‰ํ™”ํ•˜๋Š” ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค .

McClellan ํ•ฉ๊ณ„๋Š” ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ ํ•ด์„์ด ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ +1,000์˜ ํŒ๋…๊ฐ’์—์„œ ์ค‘๋ฆฝ์ ์ธ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ„์ฃผ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 1960๋…„๋Œ€์— McClellan Summation Index๋Š” ์ผ๋ฐ˜์ ์œผ๋กœ 0์—์„œ +2,000 ๋ฒ”์œ„์— ๋จธ๋ฌผ๋ €์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ NYSE์—์„œ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋˜๋Š” ์ฃผ์‹ ์ˆ˜์˜ ํ™•์žฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ๊ณผ๋งค์ˆ˜ ๋ฐ ๊ณผ๋งค๋„ ํ†ต๋กœ ์ž„๊ณ„๊ฐ’์ด ํ™•์žฅ๋˜์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์ผ๋ถ€ McClellan ํ•ฉ๊ณ„ ์ง€์ˆ˜ ๊ฒฝํ—˜ ๊ทœ์น™์€ ๋‹ค์Œ๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

  • -1,300 ์ดํ•˜์˜ ์ฃผ์š” ์ €์ ์„ ์ฐพ์œผ์‹ญ์‹œ์˜ค.

  • +1,600 ์ด์ƒ์˜ ๋‹ค์ด๋ฒ„์ „์Šค๊ฐ€ ์žˆ๋Š” ์ฃผ์š” ์ƒํŒ ์ฐพ๊ธฐ

  • ๋Œ€ํ˜• ๊ฐ•์„ธ์˜ ์‹œ์ž‘์€ McClellan Summation Index๊ฐ€ ์ด์ „ ์ €์ ์—์„œ +3,600ํฌ์ธํŠธ ์ด๋™ํ•œ ํ›„ +1,900 ์ด์ƒ์„ ๊ต์ฐจํ•  ๋•Œ ํ‘œ์‹œ๋˜๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์šฐ๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค(์˜ˆ: McClellan Summation Index๊ฐ€ -1,550์—์„œ +1,950์œผ๋กœ ์ด๋™).

์ง€์ˆ˜๋Š” ๋‹น์ผ์˜ McClellan Oscillator๋ฅผ ์ „์ผ์˜ ํ•ฉ๊ณ„ ์ง€์ˆ˜์— ๋”ํ•˜์—ฌ ์›€์ง์ž„์˜ ๋ˆ„์  ์ฒ™๋„๋กœ ๋งŒ๋“ค์–ด ๊ณ„์‚ฐํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์•„๋ž˜ ๊ณต์‹์€ McClellan ํ•ฉ๊ณ„ ์ง€์ˆ˜์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ํ•œ ๊ฐ€์ง€ ๊ณ„์‚ฐ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์„ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋ƒ…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.