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Franchise P/E

Franchise P/E

What Is Franchise P/E?

Franchise P/E (price-to-earnings) is the present value of new business opportunities available to a business. When added together, a firm's tangible P/E (sometimes called base P/E) and franchise P/E equal its intrinsic P/E. Franchise P/E is a function of the excess return on those new investments (the franchise factor) relative to the size of the opportunity (the growth factor).

Understanding Franchise P/E

Franchise P/E is mostly determined by the differences between the return on the new business opportunity and the cost of equity. Companies with high franchise P/E ratios are those that are able to ceaselessly capitalize on core strengths. Their franchise value measures their capacity to expand over time through investments that provide above-market returns. Companies that increase their asset turnover or widen their profit margin, will increase their Franchise P/E and its observed P/E ratio.

A firm's equity value or market value is the sum of its tangible value and franchise value. Breaking down the P/E ratio results in two major components, the tangible P/E (the base P/E of a firm with steady earnings), and the franchise factor, which captures the returns associated with new investments. Franchise factor contributes to the P/E ratio similarly that franchise value contributes to share value.

Ascertaining Franchise P/E

The formula for franchise P/E is:

Franchise P/E Formula

Franchise PE=(observed) intrinsic PE−tangible PE=franchise factor×growth factorwhere:Intrinsic P/E=Tangible P/E+franchise P/ETangible P/E=Firm’s static valueFranchise P/E=Firm’s growth valueFranchise factor (FF)=Incorporates therequired return on new investmentsGrowth factor (G)=Factors in the presentvalue of the excess return from newinvestments\begin&\text \frac\&\quad=\text{(observed) intrinsic }\frac\&\qquad-\text\frac=\text\&\qquad\times\text\&\textbf\&\textP/E=\textP/E\&\quad+\textP/E\&\textP/E=\text{Firm's static value}\&\textP/E=\text{Firm's growth value}\&\text{Franchise factor (FF)}=\text\&\quad\text\&\text{Growth factor (G)=Factors in the present}\&\quad\text\&\quad\text\end

Franchise Factor Formula

franchise factor=1r−1ROE\textit=\frac{1}-\frac{1}{\textit}

Growth Factor (G)

G=growth factor=gr−gg=ROE×b=ROE1dd=D1E1=1−gROE\beginG=\textit=\frac&\g=\textit\times b=\textit\frac{1}&\d=\frac=\frac{1-g}{\textit}&\end
These can further be modified:

  • Intrinsic leading P/E = P0/E1 = (1 - b)/(r - g) = (1/r) + [1/r - 1/ROE]*g/(r - g)
  • Intrinsic trailing P/E = P0/E0 = (1/r) + [1/r - 1/ROE + (1 - g/ROE)]*g/(r - g)

Utilizing Franchise P/E

Utilizing the franchise factor the impact on a company's price-earnings ratio (P/E ratio) per unit growth in new investment can be calculated. For example, a franchise factor of 3 would indicate that the P/E ratio of a company would increase by three units for every unit of growth in the company's book value. The franchise factor can be calculated as the product of annual investment returns in excess of market returns and the duration of the returns.

A higher asset turnover ratio increases the franchise P/E ratio, one of the components of the intrinsic P/E value. This is as indicated by Du Pont analysis, what breaks up return on equity into three essential components: net profit margin, asset turnover, and the equity multiplier.

DuPont Analysis = Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * Equity Multiplier

DuPont Analysis=Net Profit Margin×Asset Turnover×Equity Multiplier\begin\textit&=\textit\&\quad\times\textit\&\quad\times\textit\end
In this manner we can use the DuPont equation:

  • ROE (↑) = NI/E = NI/revenue * revenue/A (↑) * A/E
  • g (↑) = ROE (↑) * (1-d)
  • Intrinsic P/E = (1/r) + (((1/r) - (1/ROE(↑)))* g(↑)/(r-g(↑)))
  • = (1/r) + (((1/r) - (1/ROE)(↓))* (g/(r-g))(↑))
  • = intrinsic P/E (↑)

Furthermore, when firms pay out more dividends, a firm's intrinsic P/E value decreases:

  • d (↑)
  • g (↓) = ROE * (1-d(↑))
  • Intrinsic P/E = (1/r) + (((1/r) - (1/ROE))* g(↓)/(r-g(↓)))
  • = (1/r) + (((1/r) - (1/ROE))* (g/(r-g))(↓))
  • = intrinsic P/E (↓)

Highlights

  • Franchise P/E plus tangible (static) P/E is a firm's intrinsic P/E value.
  • High franchise P/E values indicate a high degree of potential growth.
  • Franchise P/E is a firm's potential growth factor. based on future business opportunities.